Your starts model runs on the official release, permit filings and, if the shop pays for one, a builder tracker somebody keeps by hand. The official series gets revised after it prints. Permits tell you what was authorized, not what got poured.
So before a homebuilder reports or your supply forecast goes out, you hold a number for a metro that you already expect to move, and nothing independent to check it against. This is a second read taken from imagery, on a fixed monthly schedule, that sits beside those sources.